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> Money CAN be made with Linux by selling services, which is the same
> way money is made with Windows. However you need to have people
> willing to use Linux first and then start selling them services
> contracts.
> It's chicken and egg all over again.
> I see Linux as a superior system but one that is going to ultimately
> fail due to lack of interest.
> It's a novelty now but seeing as it has gone virtually no place in 10
> years (desktop) I can't see a bright future for Linux.
> Devon
>
For linux to become popular it has to be installed on OEM machines. This is
what initially drives the market. When a new Microsoft OS comes out the
previous is eventually made irrelevant because new computers have the new
OS. Most people don't care what OS they run. They walk into a store and buy
whatever the salesman gets the best commission on. Once they get home or
back to work they try to figure out how to use it. If new computers came
with linux they would figure out and use linux. This model isn't based on
selling a service but selling a product. OEM's aren't going to switch to
linux anytime soon for several reasons. The main one is money. They have a
lot of money invested in the Windows ecosystem. It would be very expensive
for them to switch to a different OS even if the OS was free. That brings up
the second problem. If the OS is free where is the incentive to develop it
into a product that can be sold? Yes, some money can be made selling
services to medium and big business. No, a lot of money can't be made
selling desktop services to the general public. Currently the general public
through OEM computer sales drives the desktop market.
I stand by my original assertion that there is no technical reason why linux
can't compete with Windows. The reason it isn't competing is because of the
way linux is licensed. In a capitalist society a free product can't compete
with a product that has an easy revenue stream. Everyone in the channel gets
a little piece of the pie so you have a very large channel with the company
at the top (Microsoft) controlling the channel. With linux there is no
channel. There is no one at the top controlling how the channel works. For
some one to get to this position would be impossible with the linux license.
I'm not saying this model is a good thing. In my opinion it is the way
things work. Perhaps the linux community should look to Apple as a model.
Someone needs to create a proprietary distro and spend 100's of millions
marketing it :-)
--
Kerry Brown
Microsoft MVP - Shell/User
http://www.vistahelp.ca