I know someone else pasted this link before but I love to see it again! LOL
Is it just perhaps that this guy is saying the exact things I have been
saying for the last 15 months, yet I have been attacked by vista fanatics
and dumb MVP's for?
And again is it perhaps that if I was right those stupid naysayers were
WRONG?
YOU BET YA! For those who dont know, I am the user formally known as
Tiberius...
http://www.informationweek.com/blog/...indows_vi.html
Conventional wisdom seems to be that existing Microsoft (NSDQ: MSFT)
customers won't leapfrog Windows Vista and wait for "Windows Seven,"
currently expected in 2010. There's a feeling of inevitability about the
transition, as if it's just a question of when to write the checks to
Microsoft and do the tedious work of switching operating systems. Yet as
Vista celebrates its first birthday, the chances are increasing that many
users will never see it on their desktops.
Vista has certainly been slow out of the gate. Sure, Microsoft is putting
the operating system on newly shipped systems, but Vista sales didn't
benefit from the upgrade surge that previous OSes got upon release. A year
after it began shipping, less than one percent of corporate desktops are
running Vista.
Financial issues could also work against Vista adoption during 2008. The
sub-prime mortgage meltdown may foreshadow a recession; at minimum, the
financial services industry is certain to scale back its computing needs.
Even companies that budgeted a Vista upgrade in 2008 may reconsider the
decision if the economy turns sour.
There's no doubt that XP is the current king of Windows, and it will stay
that way for a while. Microsoft's XP support continues through the end of
2011. Microsoft is set to deliver XP Service Pack 3 in the first half of
2008. It's not set to be as revolutionary as Service Pack 2, so it shouldn't
be as tough to deploy, but SP3 includes more than just a bunch of security
patches that are already available. After many years of tweaking, tuning,
and training, XP is finally living up to the slogan Microsoft coined: "It
just works."
Given the slow adoption of Vista, an uncertain economy, and customer
contentment with XP, it's becoming a safe bet that Microsoft's XP support
will not end in 2011. Too many critical customers will be running XP in 2011
for Microsoft to even consider dropping what they call Extended Support,
which includes security patches. There's even a precedent: Windows 98.
Support for that OS was originally supposed to end in January 2004, but
Microsoft announced that they would continue support until June 2006.
If history replays itself, Microsoft will wait until the absolute last
minute to announce that XP support will be extended. In the case of Windows
98, the announcement was made just weeks before support was to expire. If
customers know that XP is safe for years to come, they'll have even fewer
reasons to upgrade to Vista, and that list is already too short for
Microsoft's comfort.