The 'Duh' Starts Now: Weighing In on the Vista Launch

Discussion in 'Windows Vista General Discussion' started by MICHAEL, Feb 5, 2007.

  1. MICHAEL

    MICHAEL Guest

    by Paul Thurrott



    With the tagline "The Wow Starts Now," it seems like the Windows Vista launch was almost
    designed to be ridiculed. After all, how could the Vista launch measure up to Microsoft's
    famous Windows 95 launch?



    The answer, of course, is that it can't, and analysts are already beginning to criticize
    Microsoft's Vista launch and marketing efforts.

    I suppose it all comes down to how you measure such things. In 1995, only a small percentage of
    people had computers and those who had even heard of the Internet were accessing it via a pokey
    dial-up connection that squealed in your ear if you inadvertently picked up the telephone
    receiver while you were downloading your email. In other words, Microsoft was able to position
    Win95 much more broadly back then because moving to Win95 was a monumental improvement for
    virtually everyone.



    However, times have changed. Many people in developed nations own or use PCs, and the
    capabilities of OSs have improved dramatically over the years. The Internet is common and
    typically accessed via fat broadband pipes. Heck, it's even common for consumers in North
    America, Asia, and Western Europe to access Internet sites and services via their cell phones.



    What else has changed? When Win95 was launched, few retail stores sold the OS, so long lines at
    midnight madness launch events gave the system a more exciting send-off with more people
    showing up per store.

    This year, 39,000 retailers in the United States alone stocked Vista the day it was launched,
    making for shorter lines and shorter waits.

    And of course, most people who buy Vista retail packages will do so from online retailers such
    as Amazon.com, which, incidentally, reported exceptionally high demand for the product.
    Unfortunately, images of people clicking "Buy Now" in a Web browser don't make for exciting
    news reports.



    But what about compared with the recent video game launches such as those for the Sony
    PlayStation 3 and Nintendo Wii, you say? Those drew strong crowds of people waiting outside of
    retail stores overnight.

    Surely, Vista was a dud compared to those products. Not at all: The PlayStation 3 and Wii were
    in very short supply, whereas Microsoft pumped the retail channel full of Vista. It will never
    be hard to find or purchase Vista; consumers can easily walk into a Best Buy today and purchase
    the Vista version they want. There was no need to run out into the cold January night when you
    could order (or preorder) Vista from the comfort of your couch. Heck, you can even download
    Vista from Windows Marketplace if you want.



    But let's bring a bit of reality back to the equation for those of you who are still worried
    that Vista is going to chug along with slow sales and disappointing returns. Even in its most
    conservative public estimates, Microsoft said it expects to sell more than 100 million copies
    of Vista by the end of 2007 and more than 200 million copies by the end of 2008. Frankly, the
    numbers will probably be quite a bit better than that, considering that more than 200 million
    PCs will be sold each year.



    Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer said that the company expects to sell more than five times as many
    copies of Vista in the next three months as it did during the same time period after the Win95
    launch. Yes, the market is bigger today, Ballmer admitted, but part of the reason is the
    excitement for the product, which was five years in the making. To put it simply, Vista was a
    blockbuster waiting to happen. The fact that few people lined up outside stores the night of
    the launch says more about the maturity of the market than it does about Vista's performance.
     
    MICHAEL, Feb 5, 2007
    #1
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  2. MICHAEL

    Troy McClure Guest

    it kills me that people aren't intelligent enough to see a little bit into
    the future... in 2 years EVERYONE will be running vista, they will have
    forgotten (or wont admit to) all the negative things they said about it, and
    they'll be BITCHING about the next OS release... pathetic if you ask me
     
    Troy McClure, Feb 5, 2007
    #2
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  3. MICHAEL

    BSchnur Guest

    it kills me that people aren't intelligent enough to see a little bit into
    In two years there will be a LOT of Vista running. No doubt about
    that. But *everyone* -- seems that the general tone in this newsgroup
    requires hyperbole on both sides of the Vista divide. Today, there are
    millions of folks (tens of millions I'd guess) still running Windows 98
    if not Windows 95. Add Windows 2000 to that mix as well. And Windows
    ME, you and I might know that was a loser out of the box, but it got a
    LOT of distribution.

    What might be close to true is that in two years, all *new* *Windows*
    systems will be sold with Vista of some form on it. That is a LOT
    different from *EVERYONE* running Vista. I mean, not EVERYONE has a
    computer. And then there are the Mac folks who will remain un
    Microsofted. And then there is the actually growing population of
    Linux users.
     
    BSchnur, Feb 5, 2007
    #3
  4. MICHAEL

    Saucy Lemon Guest

    LOL
     
    Saucy Lemon, Feb 5, 2007
    #4

  5. And certain mindless morons will be lapping up the next release as well,
    praising without any criticism, like fscked-up religious cult members.

    ss.
     
    Synapse Syndrome, Feb 5, 2007
    #5
  6. MICHAEL

    Gary Guest

    There will always be people on both sides. Some who like the new OS and
    others who don't.
    If you don't like it don't run it. If you like it then try and help others
    who are running it and need some assistance.
     
    Gary, Feb 6, 2007
    #6
  7. MICHAEL

    MICHAEL Guest

    Just because someone voices dissatisfaction
    about something doesn't mean they hate it.
    Some of us like Vista, some of us want it
    to be a better product and some of us will offer
    criticism when we think that product fails or is
    sorely lacking.

    Things don't get changed by remaining silent...
    they never have.

    For the record, Synapse Syndrome has made
    a lot of helpful posts.


    -Michael
     
    MICHAEL, Feb 6, 2007
    #7
  8. MICHAEL

    MICHAEL Guest

    No doubt about that.


    -Michael
     
    MICHAEL, Feb 6, 2007
    #8
  9. MICHAEL

    mlzielke Guest

    I have used Microsoft's operating systems since the days of Dos.....
    3.1, Windows 95, 98, 98se, ME then XP. I have liked them all, except
    for ME's memory hole......and when XP came along, I thought I died and
    went to heaven. No more IRQ conflicts, no searching for drivers,
    etc. I was looking forward to Vista.

    But I absolutely HATE vista. I'm not interested in their glossy
    interface. I want familiar. I fianlly managed to set it to "classic
    view," but even with that, I find it somewhat difficult to navigate.
    I guess I am getting old, as I don't have the patience and where with
    all to learn an unfamiliar operating system.

    Tomorrow I will reformat and reinstall XP Pro. Hopefully, I will be
    able to return Vista from whence it came, and get my money back.
     
    mlzielke, Feb 6, 2007
    #9
  10. then why have you managed to do the switch from win3.x to 95 ?

    progman.exe as a shell is not comparable to the Windows
    Explorer,Taskbar,Systray and all we are used to today..

    95 was a "OS one had to get used to.. " ..

    If you can manage XP, than you will Vista, too. Theres nothing unusual in
    it.only some stuff is now in different places, thats all.

    SJ / germany
     
    Sascha Benjamin Jazbec, Feb 6, 2007
    #10
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